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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 65,9x - 72,8x | 69,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 2,8x - 3,1x | 2,9x |
| Fair Value | ARS 1.052 - ARS 1.080 | ARS 1.066 |
| Upside | 51,6% - 55,6% | 53,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Aluar Aluminio Argentino S.A.I.C. | ALUA | BASE:ALUA |
| Regis Resources Limited | RGRN.F | OTCPK:RGRN.F |
| Brookmount Explorations Inc. | BMXI | OTCPK:BMXI |
| Bms Birlesik Metal Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | BMSTL | IBSE:BMSTL |
| White Cliff Minerals Limited | WCN | ASX:WCN |
| Ternium Argentina S.A. | TXAR | BASE:TXAR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ALUA | RGRN.F | BMXI | BMSTL | WCN | TXAR | ||
| BASE:ALUA | OTCPK:RGRN.F | OTCPK:BMXI | IBSE:BMSTL | ASX:WCN | BASE:TXAR | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 86.1% | NM- | 22.0% | NM- | NM- | 66.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 131.5% | NM- | 6.7% | 6.7% | NM- | 4.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -58.9% | 107.3% | -3.2% | -46.4% | -293.2% | -94.0% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.8% | 11.7% | 55.9% | 8.1% | -14605.6% | 19.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.6% | 0.1% | 57.1% | 7.3% | NA | 24.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.7% | -10.5% | 51.2% | 4.3% | NA | 5.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.0% | 1.5% | 51.2% | 2.9% | 6530.5% | 0.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.20x | 2.00x | 0.35x | 4.28x | -249.43x | 0.98x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.9x | 4.9x | 0.7x | 69.4x | -5.5x | 20.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 24.4x | 131.9x | 0.7x | 149.1x | -3.8x | 126.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -3.8x | 24.4x | 149.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.6x | 16.4x | 18.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 65.9x | 69.4x | 72.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 16,114 | 16,114 | 16,114 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,061,936 | 1,117,827 | 1,173,718 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 3,545,166 | 3,545,166 | 3,545,166 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,607,102 | 4,662,993 | 4,718,884 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,517.1 | 4,517.1 | 4,517.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,019.93 | 1,032.30 | 1,044.67 | ||||
| FX Rate: ARS/ARS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,019.93 | 1,032.30 | 1,044.67 | 694.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 47.0% | 48.7% | 50.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALUA | RGRN.F | BMXI | BMSTL | WCN | TXAR | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,688,291 | 3,153 | 7 | 8,165 | 50 | (410,303) | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 190,386 | 515 | 0 | 131 | 6 | 1,270,598 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 3,288 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,543,436 | |
| (-) Debt | (737,824) | (361) | (1) | (789) | 0 | (268,864) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (44,141) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (4) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,100,000 | 3,307 | 7 | 7,507 | 56 | 3,134,863 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,800.0 | 755.8 | 216.5 | 149.3 | 2,438.4 | 4,517.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 750.00 | 4.38 | 0.03 | 50.30 | 0.02 | 694.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.55 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 750.00 | 2.83 | 0.03 | 50.30 | 0.02 | 694.00 | |
| Trading Currency | ARS | USD | USD | TRY | AUD | ARS | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.55 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |