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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 45,5x - 50,3x | 47,9x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 41,0x - 45,3x | 43,1x |
Fair Value | EGP 4,47 - EGP 4,92 | EGP 4,69 |
Upside | -48,7% - -43,4% | -46,1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Arabian Food Industries Company (DOMTY) - S.A.E | DOMT | CASE:DOMT |
South Cairo and Giza Flour Mills and Bakeries Company | SCFM | CASE:SCFM |
International Company for Agricultural Crops | IFAP | CASE:IFAP |
Cairo Oil & Soap Company | COSG | CASE:COSG |
Extracted Oil & Derivatives Co. | ZEOT | CASE:ZEOT |
Sharkia National Company for Food Security | SNFC | CASE:SNFC |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
DOMT | SCFM | IFAP | COSG | ZEOT | SNFC | |||
CASE:DOMT | CASE:SCFM | CASE:IFAP | CASE:COSG | CASE:ZEOT | CASE:SNFC | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 28.2% | 3.0% | 30.6% | 67.4% | 9.3% | -13.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | 40.0% | 16.1% | 52.7% | 189.1% | 25.0% | -1.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 13.7% | 0.5% | -6.9% | -13.0% | -15.9% | -36.6% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 9.1% | -25.4% | 6.7% | -47.5% | 0.2% | -23.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 11.1% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 0.5% | -27.1% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 11.4% | -41.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 0.1% | -14.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 10.5% | -48.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 5.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.88x | 1.33x | 3.10x | 1.56x | 0.22x | 90.53x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | -2.7x | 99.1x | 31.7x | -780.0x | 1620.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.65x | 1.91x | 3.73x | 1.23x | 0.22x | 91.70x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.22x | 1.33x | 3.10x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 3.19x | 6.43x | 48.05x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 45.48x | 47.87x | 50.27x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 707 | 745 | 782 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 25 | 25 | 25 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 732 | 769 | 807 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 163.9 | 163.9 | 163.9 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 4.47 | 4.69 | 4.92 | |||||
FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.47 | 4.69 | 4.92 | 8.70 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -48.7% | -46.1% | -43.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | DOMT | SCFM | IFAP | COSG | ZEOT | SNFC | |
Enterprise Value | 8,057 | 322 | 5,689 | 1,463 | 725 | 1,401 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 699 | 143 | 465 | 5 | 27 | 18 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1 | 1,210 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
(-) Debt | (2,765) | 0 | (350) | (310) | (31) | 0 | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (0) | 0 | (174) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 5,991 | 465 | 6,840 | 1,158 | 722 | 1,426 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 282.6 | 6.0 | 380.0 | 3,120.0 | 200.0 | 163.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 21.20 | 77.50 | 18.00 | 0.37 | 3.61 | 8.70 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 21.20 | 77.50 | 18.00 | 0.37 | 3.61 | 8.70 | |
Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |