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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,5x - 0,5x | 0,5x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,4x - 0,4x | 0,4x |
| Fair Value | €11,22 - €12,56 | €11,89 |
| Upside | 3,9% - 16,3% | 10,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Honda Motor Co., Ltd. | 7267 | TSE:7267 |
| Toyota Motor Corporation | 7203 | TSE:7203 |
| DongFeng Automobile Co. LTD | 600006 | SHSE:600006 |
| Tata Motors Limited | 500570 | BSE:500570 |
| Renault SA | RNO | ENXTPA:RNO |
| Isuzu Motors Limited | ISU | DB:ISU |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 7267 | 7203 | 600006 | 500570 | RNO | ISU | |||
| TSE:7267 | TSE:7203 | SHSE:600006 | BSE:500570 | ENXTPA:RNO | DB:ISU | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 7.8% | 10.0% | -4.2% | 10.9% | 0.2% | 9.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 14.2% | 15.3% | -11.1% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.2% | 6.5% | -9.4% | 1.3% | 7.4% | -5.3% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.5% | 9.2% | -3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.8% | 11.9% | -5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.6% | 10.0% | -10.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.6% | 10.0% | -10.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.49x | 0.92x | 0.82x | 0.62x | 0.78x | 0.45x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.8x | 9.3x | -7.7x | 7.7x | 10.6x | 6.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.27x | 0.69x | 1.30x | 0.60x | 0.21x | 0.40x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.49x | 0.78x | 0.92x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.44x | 0.45x | 0.56x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.49x | 0.52x | 0.54x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 3,208,084 | 3,208,084 | 3,208,084 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,578,916 | 1,662,017 | 1,745,118 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (178,105) | (178,105) | (178,105) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,400,811 | 1,483,912 | 1,567,013 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 712.0 | 712.0 | 712.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,967.42 | 2,084.13 | 2,200.85 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 166.2 | 166.2 | 166.2 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 11.84 | 12.54 | 13.24 | 10.80 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 9.6% | 16.1% | 22.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 7267 | 7203 | 600006 | 500570 | RNO | ISU | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,682,624 | 44,337,917 | 9,013 | 2,721,295 | 44,077 | 1,455,880 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,737,273 | 13,026,716 | 4,201 | 674,280 | 23,075 | 386,842 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,116,073 | 15,680,892 | 1,476 | 87,250 | 17,070 | 274,579 | |
| (-) Debt | (11,451,267) | (38,792,879) | (177) | (770,700) | (71,690) | (675,937) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (301,293) | (954,088) | (293) | (66,100) | (793) | (163,589) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | (24,640) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,783,410 | 33,298,558 | 14,220 | 2,621,385 | 11,739 | 1,277,775 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,150.3 | 13,032.7 | 2,000.0 | 3,681.5 | 272.7 | 712.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,393.50 | 2,555.00 | 7.11 | 712.05 | 43.04 | 1,794.62 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 166.17 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,393.50 | 2,555.00 | 7.11 | 712.05 | 43.04 | 10.80 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | CNY | INR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 166.17 | |