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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,5x - 0,6x | 0,5x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,4x - 0,5x | 0,4x |
| Fair Value | €11,08 - €12,44 | €11,76 |
| Upside | -6,1% - 5,4% | -0,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Honda Motor Co., Ltd. | 7267 | TSE:7267 |
| Toyota Motor Corporation | 7203 | TSE:7203 |
| DongFeng Automobile Co. LTD | 600006 | SHSE:600006 |
| Renault SA | RNO | ENXTPA:RNO |
| Volkswagen AG | VLKA.F | OTCPK:VLKA.F |
| Isuzu Motors Limited | ISU | DB:ISU |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 7267 | 7203 | 600006 | RNO | VLKA.F | ISU | |||
| TSE:7267 | TSE:7203 | SHSE:600006 | ENXTPA:RNO | OTCPK:VLKA.F | DB:ISU | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.2% | 10.0% | -4.2% | 0.2% | 5.1% | 9.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 15.8% | 15.3% | -11.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 21.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.2% | 6.5% | -9.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% | -5.7% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.4% | 9.1% | -3.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.6% | 11.9% | -5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.8% | 10.0% | -4.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.6% | 10.0% | -4.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.52x | 0.96x | 0.84x | 0.80x | 0.82x | 0.50x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 7.8x | 9.3x | -18.2x | 10.8x | 12.6x | 7.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.29x | 0.75x | 1.31x | 0.23x | 0.15x | 0.44x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.52x | 0.82x | 0.96x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.27x | 0.44x | 0.56x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.50x | 0.53x | 0.55x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 3,200,916 | 3,200,916 | 3,200,916 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,603,999 | 1,688,420 | 1,772,841 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (219,797) | (219,797) | (219,797) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,384,202 | 1,468,623 | 1,553,044 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 716.3 | 716.3 | 716.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,932.39 | 2,050.25 | 2,168.10 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 163.5 | 163.5 | 163.5 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 11.82 | 12.54 | 13.26 | 11.80 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.1% | 6.3% | 12.4% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 7267 | 7203 | 600006 | RNO | VLKA.F | ISU | |
| Enterprise Value | 11,259,294 | 46,481,797 | 8,969 | 45,337 | 268,835 | 1,601,963 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,224,539 | 13,026,716 | 4,201 | 23,075 | 49,987 | 379,122 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,127,118 | 15,680,892 | 1,476 | 17,070 | 0 | 279,737 | |
| (-) Debt | (11,863,875) | (38,792,879) | (173) | (71,690) | (252,054) | (713,713) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (303,379) | (954,088) | (293) | (793) | (15,541) | (164,943) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,443,697 | 35,442,438 | 14,180 | 12,999 | 51,227 | 1,382,166 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,346.5 | 13,032.7 | 2,000.0 | 272.7 | 501.3 | 716.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,482.50 | 2,719.50 | 7.09 | 47.66 | 102.19 | 1,929.55 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 163.52 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,482.50 | 2,719.50 | 7.09 | 47.66 | 115.00 | 11.80 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | CNY | EUR | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 163.52 | |