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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 10,3x - 11,4x | 10,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9,5x - 10,5x | 10,0x |
| Fair Value | Rp715,81 - Rp784,78 | Rp750,29 |
| Upside | 49,8% - 64,2% | 57,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Taseco Air Services Joint Stock Company | AST | HOSE:AST |
| Phu Tai Joint Stock Company | PTB | HOSE:PTB |
| PT Sinar Eka Selaras Tbk | ERAL | IDX:ERAL |
| PT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk | MPMX | IDX:MPMX |
| PT Duta Intidaya Tbk | DAYA | IDX:DAYA |
| PT Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia Tbk | ACES | IDX:ACES |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| AST | PTB | ERAL | MPMX | DAYA | ACES | ||
| HOSE:AST | HOSE:PTB | IDX:ERAL | IDX:MPMX | IDX:DAYA | IDX:ACES | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.5% | -5.7% | NM- | 0.8% | 29.0% | -3.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -12.7% | 1.0% | 26.9% | NM- | 8.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 50.8% | 10.9% | -2.7% | 1.7% | 123.1% | 1.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -8.3% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 13.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 14.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 13.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 13.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 12.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.91x | 0.61x | 0.28x | 0.00x | 1.06x | 0.82x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.4x | 5.7x | 5.7x | 0.0x | 16.5x | 5.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.4x | 8.4x | 6.9x | 0.1x | 21.7x | 6.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 0.1x | 8.4x | 21.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.9x | 11.2x | 28.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 10.3x | 10.9x | 11.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,082,434 | 1,082,434 | 1,082,434 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 11,186,090 | 11,774,831 | 12,363,573 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,037,396 | 1,037,396 | 1,037,396 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 12,223,486 | 12,812,227 | 13,400,969 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 17,120.4 | 17,120.4 | 17,120.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 713.97 | 748.36 | 782.75 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 713.97 | 748.36 | 782.75 | 478.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 49.4% | 56.6% | 63.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AST | PTB | ERAL | MPMX | DAYA | ACES | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,802,932 | 4,247,809 | 1,506,671 | 28,319 | 2,638,639 | 7,146,150 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 408,122 | 871,353 | 417,498 | 1,995,544 | 95,732 | 2,064,649 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 73,572 | 259,006 | 99,977 | 2,222,427 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (66,971) | (1,561,305) | (221,967) | (19,710) | (253,310) | (994,293) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (99,155) | (135,251) | (17,680) | (50) | 0 | (32,959) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,118,500 | 3,681,612 | 1,784,500 | 4,226,530 | 2,481,061 | 8,183,546 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 45.0 | 66.9 | 5,187.5 | 4,379.8 | 2,420.5 | 17,120.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 69,300.00 | 55,000.00 | 344.00 | 965.00 | 1,025.00 | 478.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 69,300.00 | 55,000.00 | 344.00 | 965.00 | 1,025.00 | 478.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |