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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -1,8x - -2,0x | -1,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 1,8x - 2,0x | 1,9x |
| Fair Value | Rp234,64 - Rp247,42 | Rp241,03 |
| Upside | -6,9% - -1,8% | -4,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Kokoh Inti Arebama Tbk | KOIN | IDX:KOIN |
| PT Surya Pertiwi Tbk | SPTO | IDX:SPTO |
| PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk | APII | IDX:APII |
| PT Mitra Angkasa Sejahtera Tbk | BAUT | IDX:BAUT |
| PT Sinergi Multi Lestarindo Tbk | SMLE | IDX:SMLE |
| PT Bintang Mitra Semestaraya Tbk | BMSR | IDX:BMSR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| KOIN | SPTO | APII | BAUT | SMLE | BMSR | ||
| IDX:KOIN | IDX:SPTO | IDX:APII | IDX:BAUT | IDX:SMLE | IDX:BMSR | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 6.7% | -12.5% | NM- | NM- | -23.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 11.3% | -14.5% | NM- | 1.8% | -58.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -9.1% | 9.6% | -37.3% | -27731.5% | -30.9% | -138.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.4% | 11.5% | 15.2% | -0.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -2.1% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -1.2% | 12.8% | 8.8% | -8.0% | 4.7% | 0.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.0% | 12.7% | 9.9% | -16.3% | 3.3% | -1.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.04x | 0.84x | 1.13x | 1.24x | 1.62x | 0.05x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -5.2x | 5.6x | 8.1x | -8.4x | 25.0x | -3.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -3.8x | 6.7x | 11.4x | -7.6x | 48.7x | -2.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -7.6x | 6.7x | 48.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 0.1x | 1.3x | 6.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -1.8x | -1.9x | -2.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (55,334) | (55,334) | (55,334) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 99,990 | 105,253 | 110,515 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 131,265 | 131,265 | 131,265 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 231,255 | 236,517 | 241,780 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,159.2 | 1,159.2 | 1,159.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 199.50 | 204.04 | 208.57 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 199.50 | 204.04 | 208.57 | 252.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -20.8% | -19.0% | -17.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KOIN | SPTO | APII | BAUT | SMLE | BMSR | |
| Enterprise Value | 117,896 | 2,429,343 | 334,852 | 181,888 | 371,577 | 160,854 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 22,284 | 156,142 | 8,735 | 261 | 55,875 | 368,713 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 191,825 | 26,828 | 0 | 0 | 157,006 | |
| (-) Debt | (71,518) | (250,730) | (162,623) | (23,745) | (52,619) | (391,860) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (3) | (731,080) | (20,610) | 2 | (0) | (2,594) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 68,659 | 1,795,500 | 187,182 | 158,406 | 374,833 | 292,118 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 980.8 | 2,700.0 | 1,075.8 | 4,800.2 | 2,328.2 | 1,159.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 70.00 | 665.00 | 174.00 | 33.00 | 161.00 | 252.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 70.00 | 665.00 | 174.00 | 33.00 | 161.00 | 252.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |