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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -33,0x - -36,5x | -34,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -23,8x - -26,3x | -25,1x |
| Fair Value | Rp5,01 - Rp18,50 | Rp11,76 |
| Upside | -68,7% - 15,6% | -26,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Yanaprima Hastapersada Tbk | YPAS | IDX:YPAS |
| PT Tunas Alfin Tbk | TALF | IDX:TALF |
| PT Berlina Tbk | BRNA | IDX:BRNA |
| PT Primadaya Plastisindo Tbk | PDPP | IDX:PDPP |
| PT Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk | PICO | IDX:PICO |
| PT Sriwahana Adityakarta Tbk | SWAT | IDX:SWAT |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| YPAS | TALF | BRNA | PDPP | PICO | SWAT | ||
| IDX:YPAS | IDX:TALF | IDX:BRNA | IDX:PDPP | IDX:PICO | IDX:SWAT | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -1.9% | NM- | 21.5% | -18.3% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -0.7% | NM- | 23.4% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -148.5% | 18.7% | 1280.5% | -20.5% | 27.9% | 65.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.4% | 4.6% | -4.7% | 8.7% | -0.8% | -1.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 5.3% | -3.1% | 10.6% | 2.0% | -6.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -0.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 8.4% | 3.5% | -2.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% | -6.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.99x | 0.53x | 1.78x | 4.03x | 0.31x | 2.31x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 31.0x | 7.0x | 9.3x | 28.8x | 6.3x | 25.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -131.5x | 12.2x | 28.3x | 47.7x | 8.1x | -35.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -131.5x | 12.2x | 47.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -14.6x | 21.2x | 25.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -33.0x | -34.7x | -36.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (11,870) | (11,870) | (11,870) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 391,757 | 412,376 | 432,995 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (371,583) | (371,583) | (371,583) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 20,175 | 40,793 | 61,412 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,019.2 | 3,019.2 | 3,019.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 6.68 | 13.51 | 20.34 | ||||
| FX Rate: IDR/IDR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6.68 | 13.51 | 20.34 | 16.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -58.2% | -15.6% | 27.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | YPAS | TALF | BRNA | PDPP | PICO | SWAT | |
| Enterprise Value | 360,459 | 749,778 | 1,865,412 | 1,725,975 | 184,273 | 419,890 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,728 | 28,675 | 63,334 | 16,993 | 893 | 18,890 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (128,715) | (336,567) | (900,499) | (196,991) | (109,004) | (390,300) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (38,562) | (107,883) | 0 | 0 | (173) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 236,472 | 403,324 | 920,363 | 1,545,977 | 76,162 | 48,307 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 668.0 | 1,353.4 | 979.1 | 3,061.3 | 568.4 | 3,019.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 354.00 | 298.00 | 940.00 | 505.00 | 134.00 | 16.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 354.00 | 298.00 | 940.00 | 505.00 | 134.00 | 16.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | IDR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |