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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5,6x - 6,2x | 5,9x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3,5x - 3,8x | 3,6x |
Fair Value | ₨48,93 - ₨69,63 | ₨59,28 |
Upside | -25,9% - 5,5% | -10,2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Zahidjee Textile Mills Limited | ZAHID | KASE:ZAHID |
Gul Ahmed Textile Mills Limited | GATM | KASE:GATM |
Feroze1888 Mills Limited | FML | KASE:FML |
Kohinoor Textile Mills Limited | KTML | KASE:KTML |
Gadoon Textile Mills Limited | GADT | KASE:GADT |
Kohinoor Mills Limited | KML | KASE:KML |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ZAHID | GATM | FML | KTML | GADT | KML | ||
KASE:ZAHID | KASE:GATM | KASE:FML | KASE:KTML | KASE:GADT | KASE:KML | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 3.6% | 18.2% | 8.8% | 22.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% | |
3Y CAGR | -6.4% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 22.1% | 3.7% | 30.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 38.4% | 1.8% | -38.5% | 21.5% | 25.4% | -40.5% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 22.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 20.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 29.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.70x | 0.56x | 1.01x | 0.70x | 0.44x | 0.39x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.7x | 6.6x | 11.1x | 2.4x | 4.9x | 6.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 23.3x | 9.8x | 20.3x | 2.9x | 7.7x | 9.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.4x | 6.6x | 11.7x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.9x | 3.8x | 6.0x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.6x | 5.9x | 6.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 1,718 | 1,718 | 1,718 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,660 | 10,169 | 10,677 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,521) | (7,521) | (7,521) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 2,139 | 2,647 | 3,156 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 50.9 | 50.9 | 50.9 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 42.01 | 52.00 | 61.99 | ||||
FX Rate: PKR/PKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 42.01 | 52.00 | 61.99 | 66.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -36.3% | -21.2% | -6.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ZAHID | GATM | FML | KTML | GADT | KML | |
Enterprise Value | 28,307 | 103,004 | 64,753 | 88,618 | 32,717 | 10,881 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,470 | 925 | 653 | 40,188 | 1,025 | 1,537 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 70 | 0 | 8,833 | 6,151 | 22 | |
(-) Debt | (8,576) | (80,310) | (34,580) | (41,502) | (26,052) | (9,080) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (29,967) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 24,201 | 23,689 | 30,826 | 66,170 | 13,841 | 3,360 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 191.4 | 740.1 | 399.4 | 269.3 | 28.0 | 50.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 126.43 | 32.01 | 77.18 | 245.71 | 493.80 | 66.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 126.43 | 32.01 | 77.18 | 245.71 | 493.80 | 66.00 | |
Trading Currency | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | PKR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |