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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 3,8x - 4,2x | 4,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3,7x - 4,1x | 3,9x |
| Fair Value | ₹1.035 - ₹1.101 | ₹1.068 |
| Upside | 13,5% - 20,8% | 17,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Indian Oil Corporation Limited | 530965 | BSE:530965 |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited | 500547 | BSE:500547 |
| Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited | 500312 | BSE:500312 |
| Oil India Limited | 533106 | BSE:533106 |
| Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited | 523445 | BSE:523445 |
| The Great Eastern Shipping Company Limited | GESHIP | NSEI:GESHIP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 530965 | 500547 | 500312 | 533106 | 523445 | GESHIP | ||
| BSE:530965 | BSE:500547 | BSE:500312 | BSE:533106 | BSE:523445 | NSEI:GESHIP | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 13.1% | 19.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | NM- | 18.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -8.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 2.1% | NM- | 22.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -53.1% | -41.4% | -3.2% | -7.8% | -89.0% | -9.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.2% | 6.1% | 14.8% | 38.1% | -6.1% | 48.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.9% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 40.4% | -10.8% | 56.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.8% | 5.8% | 14.5% | 37.2% | -24.0% | 50.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.8% | 5.8% | 14.5% | 37.2% | -24.0% | 50.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.37x | 0.36x | 0.61x | 2.04x | 17.92x | 1.35x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.9x | 6.3x | 4.2x | 5.5x | -74.5x | 2.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.7x | 8.8x | 7.5x | 7.4x | -66.4x | 3.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -74.5x | 5.5x | 7.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.7x | 3.7x | 4.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.8x | 4.0x | 4.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 26,659 | 26,659 | 26,659 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 102,467 | 107,860 | 113,253 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 58,524 | 58,524 | 58,524 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 160,991 | 166,384 | 171,777 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 142.8 | 142.8 | 142.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,127.65 | 1,165.42 | 1,203.20 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,127.65 | 1,165.42 | 1,203.20 | 911.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 23.7% | 27.8% | 32.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 530965 | 500547 | 500312 | 533106 | 523445 | GESHIP | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,836,309 | 1,598,680 | 3,996,934 | 648,546 | 8,889 | 71,651 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 136,739 | 141,387 | 304,303 | 78,411 | 2,288 | 80,154 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 568,496 | 228,675 | 923,649 | 309,693 | 2,595 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,522,706) | (611,006) | (1,878,173) | (306,452) | 0 | (21,630) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (45,373) | 0 | (307,946) | (49,381) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,973,465 | 1,357,735 | 3,038,766 | 680,817 | 13,771 | 130,175 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 13,771.6 | 4,338.5 | 12,580.3 | 1,626.6 | 15.1 | 142.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 143.30 | 312.95 | 241.55 | 418.55 | 912.00 | 911.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 143.30 | 312.95 | 241.55 | 418.55 | 912.00 | 911.80 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |