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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 16,3x - 18,0x | 17,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 12,3x - 13,6x | 13,0x |
| Fair Value | ₹136,91 - ₹149,16 | ₹143,04 |
| Upside | -1,7% - 7,1% | 2,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Hindustan Construction Company Limited | 500185 | BSE:500185 |
| Yogi Infra Projects Limited | 522209 | BSE:522209 |
| Bondada Engineering Limited | 543971 | BSE:543971 |
| Z-Tech (India) Limited | ZTECH | NSEI:ZTECH |
| Atmastco Limited | ATMASTCO | NSEI:ATMASTCO |
| Mold-Tek Technologies Limited | MOLDTECH | NSEI:MOLDTECH |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 500185 | 522209 | 543971 | ZTECH | ATMASTCO | MOLDTECH | ||
| BSE:500185 | BSE:522209 | BSE:543971 | NSEI:ZTECH | NSEI:ATMASTCO | NSEI:MOLDTECH | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.3% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 31.3% | 2.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -14.4% | NM- | 106.6% | 284.8% | 59.8% | 4.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.8% | -113.2% | 155.5% | 148.5% | NM | -48.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.9% | 20.5% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 20.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.1% | 1.2% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 23.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.9% | -0.1% | 11.1% | 29.5% | 17.2% | 13.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.9% | -0.1% | 11.1% | 29.5% | 15.3% | 13.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.98x | 0.36x | 3.08x | 7.58x | 2.19x | 2.35x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.6x | -323.8x | 27.7x | 25.7x | 14.3x | 17.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.6x | -221.5x | 28.2x | 26.4x | 14.3x | 26.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -323.8x | 14.3x | 27.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.3x | 13.5x | 20.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.3x | 17.2x | 18.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 195 | 195 | 195 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,183 | 3,350 | 3,518 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 591 | 591 | 591 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,774 | 3,941 | 4,109 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 28.8 | 28.8 | 28.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 131.01 | 136.83 | 142.64 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 131.01 | 136.83 | 142.64 | 139.32 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.0% | -1.8% | 2.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 500185 | 522209 | 543971 | ZTECH | ATMASTCO | MOLDTECH | |
| Enterprise Value | 54,867 | 777 | 48,119 | 7,159 | 6,288 | 3,422 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7,520 | 9 | 76 | 38 | 199 | 135 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 671 | 14 | 266 | 0 | 0 | 523 | |
| (-) Debt | (16,791) | (580) | (1,816) | (18) | (803) | (67) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (302) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 46,267 | 220 | 46,342 | 7,179 | 5,684 | 4,013 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,819.4 | 16.8 | 108.0 | 12.8 | 24.7 | 28.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 25.43 | 13.06 | 429.05 | 560.95 | 229.80 | 139.32 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 25.43 | 13.06 | 429.05 | 560.95 | 229.80 | 139.32 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |