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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 22,3x - 24,7x | 23,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13,2x - 14,6x | 13,9x |
| Fair Value | ₹1.202 - ₹1.354 | ₹1.278 |
| Upside | -18,0% - -7,7% | -12,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Shriram Properties Limited | SHRIRAMPPS | NSEI:SHRIRAMPPS |
| Sobha Limited | SOBHA | NSEI:SOBHA |
| Embassy Developments Limited | EMBDL | NSEI:EMBDL |
| Godrej Properties Limited | GODREJPROP | NSEI:GODREJPROP |
| Signatureglobal (India) Limited | SIGNATURE | NSEI:SIGNATURE |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited | PRESTIGE | NSEI:PRESTIGE |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SHRIRAMPPS | SOBHA | EMBDL | GODREJPROP | SIGNATURE | PRESTIGE | ||
| NSEI:SHRIRAMPPS | NSEI:SOBHA | NSEI:EMBDL | NSEI:GODREJPROP | NSEI:SIGNATURE | NSEI:PRESTIGE | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 27.9% | -17.7% | -9.8% | -33.5% | NM- | 4.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 24.7% | -7.4% | 294.3% | -29.1% | NM- | 18.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 89.1% | 6.9% | 223.3% | 140.9% | 258.9% | 18.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.6% | 20.3% | -23.2% | -5.1% | -9.6% | 25.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.9% | 8.9% | -104.0% | -3.6% | -2.3% | 27.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.0% | 7.3% | 20.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 34.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.0% | 7.3% | 20.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 34.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.91x | 3.43x | 7.52x | 14.05x | 7.18x | 10.01x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.6x | 47.0x | 36.1x | 1558.7x | 404.1x | 28.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.1x | 67.6x | 37.1x | -2359.9x | 1055.2x | 42.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.6x | 47.0x | 1558.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.3x | 16.5x | 28.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.3x | 23.5x | 24.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 25,588 | 25,588 | 25,588 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 571,697 | 601,786 | 631,875 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (100,189) | (100,189) | (100,189) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 471,508 | 501,597 | 531,686 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 430.7 | 430.7 | 430.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,094.67 | 1,164.53 | 1,234.38 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,094.67 | 1,164.53 | 1,234.38 | 1,466.60 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.4% | -20.6% | -15.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SHRIRAMPPS | SOBHA | EMBDL | GODREJPROP | SIGNATURE | PRESTIGE | |
| Enterprise Value | 18,598 | 137,189 | 191,227 | 691,457 | 178,877 | 731,898 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,171 | 18,089 | 4,833 | 91,153 | 14,978 | 32,500 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 488 | 1,146 | 285 | 22,216 | 443 | 3,925 | |
| (-) Debt | (6,551) | (11,835) | (45,942) | (126,414) | (23,942) | (131,799) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (3) | 0 | (56) | (2,613) | (29) | (4,815) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 15,701 | 144,590 | 150,348 | 675,799 | 170,327 | 631,709 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 170.4 | 100.9 | 1,349.3 | 301.2 | 140.5 | 430.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 92.17 | 1,433.00 | 111.43 | 2,243.80 | 1,212.20 | 1,466.60 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 92.17 | 1,433.00 | 111.43 | 2,243.80 | 1,212.20 | 1,466.60 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |