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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 39,5x - 43,7x | 41,6x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 17,2x - 19,0x | 18,1x |
Fair Value | $11,60 - $13,12 | $12,36 |
Upside | -4,1% - 8,5% | 2,2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd. | 2074 | SZSE:002074 |
Zhuhai CosMX Battery Co., Ltd. | 688772 | SHSE:688772 |
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited | 300750 | SZSE:300750 |
EVE Energy Co., Ltd. | 300014 | SZSE:300014 |
REPT BATTERO Energy Co., Ltd. | 666 | SEHK:666 |
Sunwoda Electronic Co.,Ltd | SWD | SWX:SWD |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
2074 | 688772 | 300750 | 300014 | 666 | SWD | ||
SZSE:002074 | SHSE:688772 | SZSE:300750 | SZSE:300014 | SEHK:666 | SWX:SWD | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -36.6% | 63.2% | 33.2% | NM- | 2.9% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -61.7% | 56.1% | 48.9% | NM- | 2.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 218.7% | -110.7% | 17.5% | 54.5% | 31.1% | 51.9% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -1.2% | 4.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% | -10.5% | 2.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.4% | 0.6% | 12.8% | 6.1% | -13.6% | 0.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 3.4% | 0.5% | 17.0% | 7.4% | -7.2% | 2.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 3.6% | -0.1% | 17.2% | 7.7% | -7.2% | 1.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.24x | 1.64x | 2.94x | 1.80x | 1.60x | 0.84x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.8x | 10.2x | 12.5x | 13.8x | 401.0x | 16.6x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 62.0x | -1396.3x | 17.1x | 23.4x | -22.1x | 43.8x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -1396.3x | 17.1x | 62.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 33.2x | 48.9x | 98.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 39.5x | 41.6x | 43.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 1,094 | 1,094 | 1,094 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 43,226 | 45,501 | 47,776 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (9,329) | (9,329) | (9,329) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 33,897 | 36,172 | 38,447 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 459.3 | 459.3 | 459.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 73.80 | 78.75 | 83.71 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.2 | 7.2 | 7.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.28 | 10.97 | 11.66 | 12.10 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -15.0% | -9.3% | -3.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 2074 | 688772 | 300750 | 300014 | 666 | SWD | |
Enterprise Value | 82,934 | 18,900 | 1,063,925 | 93,679 | 28,587 | 49,211 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 18,983 | 2,625 | 342,745 | 18,204 | 4,513 | 20,597 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 4,676 | 393 | 71,208 | 17,392 | 2,037 | 2,538 | |
(-) Debt | (46,787) | (6,033) | (136,108) | (32,879) | (10,027) | (24,611) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (3,936) | (521) | (27,582) | (2,540) | (50) | (7,852) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 55,870 | 15,364 | 1,314,188 | 93,855 | 25,060 | 39,882 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,791.3 | 1,125.5 | 4,699.2 | 2,040.8 | 2,276.9 | 459.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 31.19 | 13.65 | 279.66 | 45.99 | 11.01 | 86.83 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 7.18 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 31.19 | 13.65 | 279.66 | 45.99 | 12.04 | 12.10 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 7.18 |