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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 24,1x - 26,6x | 25,4x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8,5x - 9,4x | 9,0x |
Fair Value | ¥13,47 - ¥14,70 | ¥14,08 |
Upside | -13,6% - -5,7% | -9,6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Tonze New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. | 2759 | SZSE:002759 |
Shenzhen Aoni Electronic Co., Ltd. | 301189 | SZSE:301189 |
Marssenger Kitchenware Co., Ltd. | 300894 | SZSE:300894 |
Guangdong Topstrong Living Innovation and Integration Co., Ltd. | 300749 | SZSE:300749 |
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology Co., Ltd. | 300155 | SZSE:300155 |
Guoguang Electric Company Limited | 2045 | SZSE:002045 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
2759 | 301189 | 300894 | 300749 | 300155 | 2045 | ||
SZSE:002759 | SZSE:301189 | SZSE:300894 | SZSE:300749 | SZSE:300155 | SZSE:002045 | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -20.9% | NM- | NM- | -9.1% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -41.6% | NM- | NM- | 21.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -424.8% | -48.4% | -105.1% | -173.8% | -18.6% | -22.3% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 14.5% | 2.0% | 17.2% | 2.5% | -6.4% | 5.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 7.9% | -10.8% | 18.3% | 6.4% | -14.9% | 5.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -10.8% | -15.7% | 5.7% | -6.2% | -29.3% | 3.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -5.1% | -17.4% | -1.6% | -5.2% | -36.3% | 3.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.07x | 4.67x | 3.95x | 1.49x | 10.24x | 0.93x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -40.9x | -26.9x | -244.4x | -29.0x | -28.2x | 30.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -16.0x | -20.0x | -37.9x | -14.2x | -23.7x | 81.9x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -244.4x | -29.0x | -26.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.0x | 23.9x | 41.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 24.1x | 25.4x | 26.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 255 | 255 | 255 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 6,159 | 6,483 | 6,807 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 995 | 995 | 995 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 7,154 | 7,478 | 7,802 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 562.5 | 562.5 | 562.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 12.72 | 13.29 | 13.87 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.72 | 13.29 | 13.87 | 15.58 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -18.4% | -14.7% | -11.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 2759 | 301189 | 300894 | 300749 | 300155 | 2045 | |
Enterprise Value | 4,384 | 2,683 | 4,705 | 1,511 | 1,970 | 7,769 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 911 | 296 | 733 | 226 | 489 | 2,806 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 24 | 42 | 149 | 111 | 245 | 1,486 | |
(-) Debt | (815) | (66) | (507) | (251) | (4) | (3,293) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (497) | 1 | 0 | (3) | (18) | (4) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 4,008 | 2,958 | 5,080 | 1,594 | 2,683 | 8,763 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 491.8 | 116.4 | 407.7 | 201.1 | 561.2 | 562.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 8.15 | 25.41 | 12.46 | 7.93 | 4.78 | 15.58 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.15 | 25.41 | 12.46 | 7.93 | 4.78 | 15.58 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |